Cycling is safer than you think (but not as safe as it should be)

Image by Wolfgang Staudt

Last week there was a tragic and fatal bike accident here in Halifax.  As avid road cyclists, these sorts of accidents always hit home for my wife and I.  Even moreso in this case, as the cyclist’s description (an elementary-school teacher and cycling enthusiast in her early 30′s) is also an apt description for my wife.

Although the cause of the crash is still unclear (the cyclist was hit by a truck turning right, although no word yet on whether anyone was at fault), these sorts of accidents drive home the fact that riding a bike can, at times, be a dangerous activity.  And so, I thought this would be a good time to revisit just how dangerous cycling is, when compared to other modes of transportation.

The most useful information that I’ve encountered on this topic is from a paper in Environmental Health Perspectives which examines whether the benefits of increased cycling (increased physical activity) outweigh the risks (both in terms of accidents and exposure to pollutants for individual cyclists).  To calculate these numbers, the authors examine changes in mortality at both the population level, and for individual cyclists, if 12.5% of current short car trips in the Netherlands were to be performed by cycling instead.

So, what did they find?

The authors report that for most adults, the risk of death when cycling is about 4.3x higher than if the same trip were being made by car (YIKES!). However, we’ve got to remember that commuters not only pose a risk to themselves – they also post a risk to other road users.  And if you’re going to be hit by a vehicle, a Cervelo is going to do you a lot less harm than a Corolla!  There is a reason why you don’t hear about out-of-control cyclists taking out a swath of pedestrians.  So with an increase in the number of trips made by bike, the increased mortality among cyclists due to traffic accidents is offset by the reduced mortality among the general population who would be less likely to be run over crossing the street (interestingly, if it were high risk young drivers who were to switch from driving to cycling, it would actually save lives!).

Now while the risk of being in an accident is higher for cyclists, it must be remembered that they are also likely to be getting increased levels of health promoting physical activity, and substantially reducing their volume of sedentary time.  In fact, the risk of death due to physical inactivity among active commuters is estimated to be 10-50% lower than in non-active commuters – a pretty substantial health benefit!

So will cycling to work make your life longer or shorter?  On average, the risk due to car accidents will reduce your life expectancy by just 5-9 days.   Being exposed to air pollution during your commute could cost you another 8-40 days.  But the physical activity in your commute would actually increase your life expectancy by up to 14 months! Overall, the health benefits of active commuting by bike are 9 times greater than the risks!

Lest that you think that this is only true in the cycling utopia that is the Netherlands, similar studies have also suggested that the benefits of cycling outweigh the dangers in countries ranging from Spain to India and the UK.  Just this week it was reported that after 8.75 million trips covering more than 14 million miles, there has yet to be a single fatality associated with the new Citi bike-share program in New York City (there have been only 100 reported accidents so far, and only 25 of those warranted a trip to the emergency room).  When you consider that the people most likely to use a bike-share program are tourists and other individuals who don’t spend a lot of time on a bike, those results are very heartening.  Especially when you take into account the many failings of urban cycling in North America (see videos below).

What’s the take-home message?

Cycling is obviously more dangerous that it should be, something which needs desperately to be addressed.  But if you decide to commute by bicycle on a regular basis, you are far more likely to improve your health and prolong your life via increased physical activity than you are to shorten your life by getting involved in an accident.  It is interesting and extremely important to note that the number of cyclists on the road is inversely related to the number of car/bike collisions  – so the more of us that get out on the roads, the less likely we are to get in an accident.

And if you do choose to cycle more regularly (which I definitely think you should!), please wear a helmet and obey traffic laws – especially stop signs.  Those two factors alone will go a long way to preventing some cycling related deaths.

Today’s post is an update from a post published on Obesity Panacea in September of 2010.


Category: News | 6 Comments

Over 1 in 3 adults worldwide are now overweight or obese


According to a brand new study, the global prevalence of obesity is on the rise – and this seems to be true of men and women, adults and children, and those in developed and developing countries. But there are some interesting differences according to country, age, and gender and even some potentially positive news.

The results come from a massive study just published in the journal Lancet assessing the worldwide change in the prevalence of people who are overweight or obese (BMI≥25kg/m2). By massive, I’m referring to the fact that this study used data from a whopping 1769 individual studies from 183 countries. That alone is an impressive feat.

Let’s dig a bit deeper into the study findings, shall we?

Globally, between 1980 and 2013, the proportion of men who were overweight or obese increased from 28.8% to 36.9%, while the proportion of women in this category increased from 29.8% to 38.0%.

Across time, the prevalence of overweight/obesity was higher in developed than in developing countries across all ages.

For instance, in 2013, the US accounted for 13% of all obese people worldwide! This is a tremendous statistic given that the US accounts for approximately 4.4% of the world’s population.

Interestingly, more men than women were overweight and obese in developed countries like the US and Canada, whereas the opposite was true in developing countries (overweight and obesity was more prevalent in women).

The rates of overweight and obesity peaked in men at about 55 years of age; meanwhile the peak age in women was approximately 60 years.

And adults weren’t the only ones putting on the pounds; rates of excess weight in children and adolescents also increased. Between 1980 and 2013 in developed countries, the prevalence of overweight and obesity has increased from 16.9% to 23.8% among boys and from 16.2% to 22.6% among girls.

While the greatest increase in obesity prevalence occurred between 1992 and 2002, this trend has tapered down in the past decade, particularly in developed countries.

That is, as a species, we’re still getting fatter, albeit at a slower pace.

This was the good news I was referring to above. Not the most encouraging, but given the barrage of negative news regarding the obesity pandemic, I’ll take what I can get.

Excess weight has previously been estimated to cause 3.4 million global deaths per year, and it has been postulated that, at least in the US, the rise in obesity could actually result in shorter life expectancy for future generations – thereby reversing the temporal trend of increasing life expectancy over time. The fact that a growing proportion of the global population is crossing the threshold into excess weight suggests that this daunting prediction may become true.

The exact cause of this global weight increase is anyone’s guess. The authors of this paper suggest the usual suspects: increased caloric intake, changes in the composition of diet, decreased levels of physical activity. Then they promptly throw their hands up.

Due to the continued westernization of many developing countries across the globe, no one should be surprised if the global rates of obesity continue to climb into the future. The slight plateauing in the rise of obesity in developed countries may indicate that some of the strategies enacted over the past decade are actually having some impact. Hopefully, we can help developing countries launch similar public health strategies and turn the tide before obesity rates in these countries mirror those of more developed (and chubbier) counterparts.

Interesting fact: The research was funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Reference: Ng et al. Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. (2014) The Lancet.

Category: News | 12 Comments

The surprising science of fat: you can get fatter and become healthier

fat cellsA new study in obese mice suggests that increasing the growth of fat located under the skin (subcutaneous) actually led to an improvement in glucose tolerance and insulin sensitivity, both precursors to diabetes. The expansion of subcutaneous fat was also associated with a reduction in the fat stored in places that aren’t meant to store fat, such as the liver.

The study, published online at the journal Obesity, induced the growth of subcutaneous fat through hyperplasia (increasing the number of fat cells) rather than hypertrophy (growth of existing fat cells) by injecting “acellular adipogenic cocktails” around the subcutaneous fat depots in obese mice. Ten weeks post-injection, the mice showed evidence of subcutaneous fat expansion and the corresponding metabolic improvements described above.

So, just to recap: obese mice became healthier by getting fatter.

Should we be surprised? Not if you’ve been following our blog over the years.

Let’s do a quick review.

First, it is important to understand that fat, or adipose tissue, which is mostly composed of many individual fat cells (adipocytes) is not inherently unhealthy. To the contrary, adipose tissue is absolutely necessary to allow the body to store excess calories during times when we ingest more calories than we expend through activity and resting metabolism. By doing so, adipose tissue acts as a buffer of excess calories, and thus protects other tissues of the body from accumulating fat (i.e. heart, liver, muscle). This notion is best represented by the fact that individuals who completely lack fat tissue (a disorder known as congential lipodystrophy) are very unhealthy and are almost guaranteed to develop diabetes and heart disease, despite having an athletic and lean appearance.

In other words, fat tissue is essential for health.

Where many people get into trouble is when they have exhausted their body’s ability to store more calories in adipose tissue – we all have a certain threshold to which our fat depots can expand. When we get to that point, our fat cells become so big that they are no longer able to buffer excess calories and thus cannot protect other tissues from fat accumulation and damage. This is when many of the classical metabolic problems of obesity become apparent – increased blood fats, blood glucose levels, etc.

But wait, isn’t losing fat through diet and exercise good for health?

Yes, when we expend more energy (exercise) or reduce the amount of food we ingest (diet), or both, our body draws on our extra stores of energy in our adipose tissue – this process gradually reduces the size of the individual fat cells. That is, fat loss occurs due to a reduction in size of fat cells, not a reduction in the number of fat cells. Not surprisingly, your pants start fitting better. Also, this process makes fat cells more efficient at sucking up excess calories the next time we again eat more than we expend.

What about liposuction?

Fat loss through diet/exercise is completely different from the scenario of liposuction, where a whole bunch of fat cells are removed from the body – that is, you reduce the number of fat cells, but the remaining ones don’t get any smaller or healthier. In fact, the opposite may be true, with less place to store excess calories than before surgery, so enlargement of those fat cells left behind.

In a 2004 study, obese women who underwent abdominal liposuction, losing approximately 30- 45 % of the subcutaneous fat in the abdominal region (~10kg of fat), did not show improvements in any of the metabolic markers assessed, including insulin sensitivity, blood pressure, blood glucose, insulin, or lipid levels.

Just to recap: simply surgically removing subcutaneous fat tissue does not make one healthier.

How about increasing subcutaneous fat stores in obese people? Do they also become healthier like the fat-gaining obese mice?

In a prior study, 12 overweight or obese and metabolically unhealthy subjects were given a drug (Pioglitazone) for a duration of 12 weeks. Pioglitazone belongs to the thiazolidinediones (TZD) class of drugs that seem to upregulate the production of healthy new fat cells (a process known as adipogenesis) – that is they make you fatter. By doing so, these drugs increase the storage capacity of your fat tissue – something that is limited in unhealthy obese individuals.

And that is precisely what happened in these subjects following 3 months of pioglitizone administration. First, they gained about 2kg of body weight. Their amount of subcutaneous fat in the belly went up by about 10% and that in their butt/thigh by about 24%. Interestingly, their amount of dangerous visceral fat decreased by about 11%.

Also, a fat biopsy from the belly of the subjects showed that the increase in fat mass was due to an increase in the number of small and healthy adipocytes (hyperplasia – just like in the mice study) which are better able to take up more circulating fat.

And what happened to their insulin sensitivity?

It improved by over 28%!

That’s right – they got fatter and yet healthier. Just like the mice.

As we have attempted to highlight over the years, fat is not inherently unhealthy. Losing fat isn’t always beneficial nor is gaining it always detrimental to health. Matters related to excess fat and health risk are much more nuanced than previously thought.


1. Qiqi Lu et al. Induction of adipocyte hyperplasia in subcutaneous fat depot alleviated type 2 diabetes symptoms in obese mice. Obesity. 2014
2. Klein S. et al. (2004). Absence of an Effect of Liposuction on Insulin Action and Risk Factors for Coronary Heart Disease New England Journal of Medicine, 350, 2549-2557
3. McLaughlin, T et al. (2009). Pioglitazone Increases the Proportion of Small Cells in Human Abdominal Subcutaneous Adipose Tissue. Obesity.

Category: Obesity Research, Peer Reviewed Research | 5 Comments

Make Life Harder

I’ve just returned from the final day of the Global Summit on the Physical Activity of Children.  The highlight today was a keynote by Mike Evans, a physician who has created a number of extremely successful viral videos on health-related topics.

His talk was of interest to me as both as a health researcher, and as someone who is actively involved in knowledge translation (KT).  I think the most important thing that he discussed was the idea that failure is ok, and even crucial to success in both research and in KT.  He talked about making a Minimum Viable Product, which is basically the best thing you can duct tape together, warts and all.  You then constantly evaluate and tweak the product, with each iteration sucking slightly less than the one before.  It’s the model that Peter and I have used here at Obesity Panacea ( was very different from the blog you see today!), and continue to use as we play around with Youtube and Twitter and podcasts.

But Dr Evans talked about using the Minimum Viable Product idea to go from an idea to having a working healthcare intervention in a span of just 90 days. In other words, do a bit of homework, talk to your target audience, then try out a basic intervention. Then evaluate, build on what worked, and drop the rest. I can see some hurdles with that approach (just getting ethics approval in <90 days can be a real challenge sometimes) but I think it makes sense, especially when compared with the alternative of spending years developing an intervention that may be tossed aside or irrelevant by the time it is ready to roll out.

During his talk Dr Evans also showed one of his videos, this one focusing on making life harder as a means of embedding physical activity into your day. I personally use almost all of the strategies in the video, and I think it does a great job of getting the message across.

As a last thought on the conference, I just wanted to say congrats to Mark Tremblay and all the organizers, as well as the folks at Active Healthy Kids Canada (especially Lindsay Whiting) for putting on a great conference. Hope to see you all again soon.


Category: Miscellaneous, News | Tagged | 2 Comments

Physical activity vs sedentary behaviour; what is more important for kids?

My personal highlight from day 2 of the Global Summit on the Physical Activity of Children was a debate on the relative importance of sedentary behaviour and physical activity for child health.  Arguing for physical activity was Dr Ulf Ekelund, while sedentary behaviour was argued by David Dunstan.  Rather than go point by point, I thought I’d touch on some of the main themes that were discussed. And just to be clear, this was my perception of the debate, so if anyone had a different perception I’d love to hear it in the comments (similarly, if anyone feels I misunderstood the points of the speakers please let me know).

Objective and Subjective Sedentary Behaviour Are Not the Same

One of the first points raised by Ulf Ekelund is that objectively measured sedentary behaviour is not consistently associated with health outcomes in children.  In contrast, screen-based measures of sedentary behaviour are much more consistently linked with negative health outcomes.  Take, for example, this paper from my PhD that found that screen time was strongly associated with health risk in kids aged 8-11 years, whereas objectively measured sedentary time showed no association with health outcomes.  In other words it may be the screens that matter, rather than the sitting.

Physical Activity Gives the Biggest Bang For Your Buck

In contrast to the wishy washy evidence linking objectively measured sedentary behaviour and health in kids, there is pretty consistent linking physical activity with health in this same group.  Dr Ekelund has done some interesting work in this area.  For example, the below figure shows data from one of Dr Ekelund’s studies which found that moderate intensity physical activity was associated with health outcomes in kids irrespective of how much time they spent being sedentary.  In contrast, sedentary behaviour was not associated with any health outcome after adjusting for moderate physical activity.  In other words, physical activity was the more important to health than sedentary behaviour for these kids (JP Chaput found similar results using a cohort of Canadian children).

Kids and Adults Are Not the Same
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Category: Miscellaneous, News | Tagged | 2 Comments

New Zealand & Mozambique Get Top Grades on Physical Activity Report Cards

Image via Active Health Kids Canada (Source)

Image via Active Health Kids Canada (Click to view full size)

Today is the first full day at the Global Summit on the Physical Activity of Children, and it began with the unveiling of Physical Activity Report Cards from 15 different countries.  Canada has been releasing an annual Report Card on childhood physical activity for 10 years, but this year they were joined by countries ranging from England and the USA to Ghana and Kenya. Canada and the USA received overall grades of D- (not a big surprise who for those of us that have followed these things over the years), while New Zealand and Mozambique had the top grades (B for both countries).  In addition to overall physical activity, the report cards also looked at different key indicators for each country.

Interestingly, Canada scored relatively well on indicators related to school physical activity, family and peer support, and government policy and the built environment (I say relatively well because the grades were still typically low, but they were nonetheless in the top third of countries).  In other words, in Canada we seem to be doing a good job of putting the supports in place for kids to be active (or at least paying it lip service), but it’s not making much of a difference in terms of actual physical activity levels.  Below is a video of Joel Barnes, lead author of the Canadian Report Card, explaining their key findings for this year.

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Category: Interview, Miscellaneous, News | Tagged | 2 Comments